Related link: http://www.nylf.org/
A few weeks back, I gave a talk at a NYLF Technology Forum. NYLF itself is interesting– it puts on week-long high-exposure events that give promising high-school students the opportunity to learn a lot about an industry, from people in the industry.
I talked about startups in Silicon Valley. I basically went through the gamut of “here’s how they start, here’s a brief look at typical organization structures, here’s what the roles are, and what the positions are called … ” A sort of blend of anthropology and career advice.
One of the things that bothered me when I was preparing for the talk, and which was highlighted by the questions as well, is that, at least here in Silicon Valley, there aren’t a lot of junior development positions.
I’ve been watching it for a couple of weeks now across a couple of sources, and it seems that, in terms of advertisements, less than 5% of the available positions are for junior developers (for example, if you look at craigslist in the San Francisco Bay Area, a typical day has about 30 advertisements, and 1 or 2 of those are junior).
It’s pretty clear that if the market for junior developers is <5% of the total software engineering market, we're not in an era of huge expansion.
But, the question is: is 5% a harbinger of future shrinking in Silicon Valley (all the junior developer jobs are elsewhere) or a sign that we’ve gotten to a stable economy for software developers.
What’s the percentage of junior jobs in a stable industry? And what other easily-spidered indicators are there?